Any Retired Banker Can Forecast the Weather

Sunday, September 1, we begin Meteorological Fall which will always start on September 1st and end on the last day of November. The Astronomical Seasons will sometimes start on different days. The Astronomical Fall season will begin when the sun passes over the equator giving us equal days and nights. This is also called the Autumnal Equinox.

 

This is also the traditional halfway point for the Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season. We have had only five named storms in 2024, while in 2023, at this point, we had nine, and ending up with twenty.

When this season began, we were well into El Nino. That prompted the prognosticators to call for twenty-seven named storms for 2024. But now, a La Nina watch has begun.

By the end of November, we may be well into another La Nina, which will potentially modify downward the number of tropical storms for this season. That would be a relief to homeowners and insurance companies alike.

Across the Southeast, with La Nina, they usually will see drier and warmer temperatures. That will make for an interesting forecast for our winter season in Florida.

Understand that watching the weather is a hobby for me. I certainly do not claim to know what I am talking about. I, at least, admit it, unlike the weather people on TV.

I am right about thirty percent of the time, which is a better result than many of the professionals. And they get the big bucks.

So, where’s my paycheck?