Not even the Taylor Swift endorsement of the Kamster moved the needle as much as the Kennedy endorsement did for Donald Trump. If you recall, Nate Silver has a well-known success rate in his predictions.
Silver said that RFK Jr’s move coincided with a slight dip in Harris’s polling. “Those voters are lost. That might have mattered a fair bit,” the pollster said, before clarifying a “fair bit” meant about half a point.
Despite more than 400,000 voters clicking on Swift’s link to the voter registration site vote.gov in the immediate aftermath, the singer’s endorsement failed to move the dial, Silver said.
“The biggest pop star in the world endorses you and you can barely see any difference in the polls,” he said.
When you consider all of the polling this election has shown to be in flux, this also can create doubt. However, Nate Silver must be considered as accurate as any other.
And ultimately, in thirty-two days, the only poll that matters this election cycle will take place. Then, we can look back and see which one was the most accurate.
I am betting on Nate Silver.
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